Errors of Enchantment

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Tipping Point NM episode 710 Senator Bill Sharer – Legislative Successes, Proposed Heat Regulations and PNM

05.23.2025

On this week’s show Paul talks to Senate Minority Leader Bill Sharer of Farmington. Sen. Sharer has been a long-time conservative stalwart in Santa Fe. They discuss some of the Republican successes of the 2025 legislative session and his new role in leading the GOP Senate. During the second half of the interview they focus on the proposed heat regulations which are currently open for public comment. Finally, they discuss the closure of San Juan Generating station and the potential sale of PNM.

What You Need to Know: New Mexico’s Climate Action Plan

05.23.2025

What You Need to Know: New Mexico’s Climate Action Plan

I recently attended the “Industry: Climate Action Plan Sector-based Community Conversation” on May 15th, so that you don’t have to. We discussed the goals in the Oil and Gas sector for the Climate Action Plan. The presenters reiterated that the overarching goal is a 45% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030, compared to 2005. The goal is then to be net zero by 2050. In the oil and gas industry, which makes up about 40% of the state’s greenhouse gas emissions, the focus was on CO2 and Methane emissions specifically.

For CO2 they proposed two main ways to reduce emissions: electrification of equipment, and increased CO2capture requirements. The response to these was mixed. Some were very supportive, while others raised concerns about the cost and feasibility of electrification and the long-term sustainability of sequestering CO2. To reduce methane emissions, plugging inactive wells, increasing leak detection and increasing the enforcement capacity of the state were all discussed.

Quite frankly, the whole conversation seemed arbitrary. No real data or expertise was presented on the impact and feasibility of the plan; neither was there a discussion of the long-term ramifications of the proposed steps. The entire discussion was too general to say anything meaningful about the quality of the plan, even if you were a supporter of it. The only real takeaway was that the oil and gas industry can expect more regulation heading its way.

To learn more about New Mexico’s Climate Action Plan or sign up for future Community Conversation events visit: https://www.climateaction.nm.gov/cap/

Opinion piece: Education in New Mexico: School choice is the answer

05.23.2025

The following was written by Rebecca Dow on behalf of Opportunity for All Kids (a project of Rio Grande Foundation). It ran on May 18, 2025 in the Santa Fe New Mexican.

Seven years ago, the landmark Yazzie v. Martinez district court ruling was handed down. A judge found the state of New Mexico violated students’ fundamental rights. The problem is that New Mexico is not providing a sufficient public education as required under the state constitution. Unfortunately, New Mexico’s education problems have only gotten worse.

In fact, recently First Judicial District Judge Mathew Wilson noted that New Mexico has made no meaningful improvement for Native American, disabled, low-income and English-learning students since the initial Yazzie ruling in 2018. Anyone following New Mexico education policy should not be shocked by this recent court decision.

The sad proof? In the last two NAEP “Nation’s Report Card” cycles, New Mexico students ranked dead last in reading and math scores in both 2024 and 2022.

These unacceptable outcomes are after the state Legislature has increased public school funding by over 60% ($2 billion), while student enrollment is declining. Clearly, lack of funding for schools wasn’t the issue.

So, what will come of this latest judicial demand for a new plan from the New Mexico Public Education Department? Under the current governor, the PED is in disarray.

There have been five different Cabinet secretaries and there’s zero appetite for bold reforms like school choice or proven strategies like those adopted in Mississippi.

When former Gov. Susanna Martinez previously tried to move the needle with similar reforms, the unions snuffed them out.

Let’s not just blame the governor, though. Legislative leaders like Rep. Andres Romero, chair of the House Education Committee, has flat-out refused to even let school choice bills get a hearing in his committee. As Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham herself admitted, too many Education Committee members are former or current educators who “aren’t interested in changing anything,” and their voting on education policy is “unethical and a huge conflict of interest.”

Meanwhile, the teacher unions run the show, funneling money and muscle to the politicians who’ll keep things exactly as they wish.

With that level of captured governance, why would any real education reforms — such as school choice options for families trapped in failing schools — ever be given any serious debate and discussion?

Unless Wilson is willing to challenge the status quo and force PED, the Legislature and the governor to embrace genuine change — school choice included — New Mexico kids will just keep getting left behind. Another court order won’t fix what’s broken, but elections might.

With 2026 around the corner, voters have a shot at real change, but only if we stop recycling the usual politicians.

If we want a new direction, it starts with voters demanding bold, coherent education policies — especially on school choice and accountability — from every candidate up and down the ballot.

And while numerous people have either announced their candidacy for governor or who are thinking about running, parents and students should demand that each of these governor candidates outline a specific plan on how to end the disgrace that New Mexico’s education system in worst in the nation.

We can’t afford finger-pointing and foot-dragging any longer. We need a new educational vision that empowers teachers, local school districts, and parents with a wide range of options to best meet the needs of their communities and students.

New Mexico can’t endure another lost decade. Adoption of school choice and other fundamental reforms in how our students are educated can’t wait. Let’s make education reform the defining issue in the 2026 election, and elect leaders who will make it happen.

Rep. Rebecca Dow is project manager of Opportunity for All Kids, a New Mexico-based educational reform project of the Rio Grande Foundation and House of Representative for District 38. She is a Republican.

NPR: lefty Texans are moving to New Mexico

05.22.2025

A recent story from taxpayer-funded National Public Radio highlighted a supposed trend of left wing Texans moving to New Mexico in search of left wing social policies. They interviewed a number of movers and several New Mexicans on both sides of the political aisle. NPR highlighted “The Big Sort” in a 2022 article.

We’d agree that state policies are causing people to move from state to state in greater numbers to live in states that reflect their social values but we’d note that economic factors have been driving people out of “blue” states and pushing them into “red” states for many years. Given that situation (and the fact that social conservatives can move just as social liberals do), it is no surprise that “blue” New Mexico lags Texas and its other neighbors badly when it comes to population growth. The chart below uses Census data from 2010 to 2020. More recent data from UNM highlights the fact that New Mexico’s population is stagnant and aging.

Clearly, New Mexico’s left-wing social policies aren’t enough to draw big numbers to the State. Could a more libertarian approach of social liberalism and free market economics work for New Mexico? Possibly, but there are precisely zero libertarian-leaning (fiscally conservative, socially liberal) Democrats in New Mexico’s Legislature. In fact, the legacy of late Gov. Bill Richardson who did cut taxes (although by no means libertarian) and was socially moderate is under attack by current legislators and Gov. Lujan Grisham.

Sadly for New Mexico adding more left-wing Texans to our voting mix isn’t going to help the Land of Enchantment anytime soon, but perhaps it will keep Texas “red.” It further highlights the quote from Manuel Armijo “Poor New Mexico! … So far from Heaven; so close to Texas”

Luncheon: The Decline of Economic Freedom In New Mexico

05.21.2025

Luncheon: The Decline of Economic Freedom In New Mexico

Join us for an insightful luncheon as we delve into the findings of the Fraser Institute’s recent report, “Economic Freedom in the Land of Enchantment.” This comprehensive study, conducted in collaboration with the Rio Grande Foundation, reveals that New Mexico stands alone as the only U.S. state to have experienced a decline in economic freedom since 1981.

Despite its rich natural resources and cultural heritage, New Mexico faces challenges such as high taxation, substantial government spending, and stringent regulations. These factors have contributed to the state’s lagging economic performance, including low employment growth and a high poverty rate.

During this luncheon, Matthew Mitchell will discuss the key findings of the Fraser Institute’s report and their implications for New Mexico’s economy, comparative analyses with neighboring states that have embraced greater economic freedom and witnessed corresponding economic growth, and policy recommendations aimed at enhancing economic freedom and fostering prosperity within the state.

This event offers a platform for policymakers, business leaders, academics, and concerned citizens to engage in meaningful dialogue about New Mexico’s economic trajectory and explore actionable strategies for improvement.

Featured Speaker:
Matthew D. Mitchell is a Senior Fellow in the Centre for Human Freedom. Prior to joining the Fraser Institute, Mitchell was a long-serving senior fellow at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, where he remains an affiliated senior scholar.

Mitchell received his PhD and MA in economics from George Mason University and his BA in political science and BS in economics from Arizona State University. His writing and research focuses on economic freedom, public choice economics, and the economics of government favoritism.

Mitchell has testified before the U.S. Congress and several state legislatures. He has advised federal, state, and local government policymakers in the United States on both fiscal and regulatory policy. His research has been featured in numerous national media outlets, including the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, the Washington Post, National Public Radio, and C-SPAN.

Date: June 18
Time: Doors open at 11:45AM, Program Start at 12:00PM
Location: Indian Pueblo Cultural Center, Silver Room

Cancellation policy: The Rio Grande Foundation will honor cancellation requests until June 3, 2025 at 12:00PM MT, minus a 15% transaction fee.

 

New Mexico is corrupt, lack of economic freedom is the cause

05.21.2025

As Santa Fe New Mexican columnist Milan Simonich wrote recently: New Mexico has a corruption problem. Simonich argues that our corruption has created our stagnation (we’ll discuss that further below). He cites the APD DWI scandal but other recent scandals include Rep. Sheryl Williams Stapleton, and AG Raul Torrez has recently come under scrutiny for taking a “cost-covered trip to South Africa featuring a safari, a stay at a five-star hotel, wine tours and gourmet restaurants that serve Wagyu steaks.” And then of course there is the legal corruption that permeates New Mexico in everything from its education funding formula to its capital outlay process.

But, there is a solution that doesn’t rely on improving human morals: increased economic freedom.

Study after study (including our own) highlights the fact that economic freedom can positively impact corruption. It only makes sense. In a free market where consumers make decisions to buy and sell it is hard to be corrupt. Your local Wal Mart almost always sells you exactly what you think you are buying and at the price you are willing to pay. Government, on the other hand, lacks a willing buyer and seller (government taxes you rather than selling its “benefits”), government lacks transparency, government officials often have conflicting motives.

If New Mexicans want to reduce corruption they need to vote for candidates that espouse principles of limited government and economic freedom. It is the only proven means of reducing corruption.

 

Tipping Point NM Episode 709: PNM Sale, Biden’s Cancer, Woke Okra and more

05.21.2025

On this week’s show Paul and Wally begin by discussing breaking news with the potential sale of PNM.

They also discuss former President Joe Biden’s cancer diagnosis and the fact that this diagnosis was likely known for some time.

Santa Fe Public Schools’ budget is a massive $46,000 per student next year:

RGF appeared in National Review recently.

An okra farm received $25,000 from New Mexico taxpayers. Then things got even more interesting.

With talks under way in Washington over Medicaid reform New Mexico politicians are “freaking out.” Paul and Wally explain why cuts and reforms are long overdue.

There has been a spate of issues with air traffic control especially in Newark, Paul has done work on this issue in the past. The solution can be found by looking north to Canada.

There has been a lot of discussion about New Mexico’s underfunded pensions recently. What’s going on?

New Mexico’s so-called “clean fuel standard” finalized, moves to Environmental Improvement Board

05.20.2025

According to an email sent today the New Mexico Environment Department (NMED) has proposed a Clean Transportation Fuel Program to the state’s Environmental Improvement Board (EIB). The action follows the Legislature’s passage of and Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham’s signing of House Bill 41 in March 2024.

According to the email, “A 60-day public comment period is expected to begin in mid-June 2025, with the EIB considering all feedback before making a final decision. The EIB is expected to hold public meetings starting on September 29, 2025 and continue through October 17, 2025 or as needed.”

A copy of the petition, statement of reasons, and draft proposed rule is available here.

Unlike RGF’s efforts in the Fall of 2023 to kill New Mexico’s controversial EV standards THIS regulation is supported by legislation and thus likely a “done deal.” Sadly, the “fix” is in for a variety of reason. On page 86 of the document linked in the last paragraph the NMED claims “carbon intensity and lifetime emissions” of electricity at ZERO. Of course, in reality, New Mexico utilities won’t be 100% “renewable” until 2045 under the Energy Transition Act (and this is if everything goes as planned). Thus, EV’s still produce CO2 contrary to the NMED’s statement.

Set aside the mining, lubrication (for windmills), transportation, installation, battery backup, and numerous other inputs of so-called “renewables” and the picture would be a bit more nuanced. But, the regulation is going to increase costs to consumers dramatically.

As the Rio Grande Foundation’s new policy brief, “Modeling the Cost of New Mexico’s Low Carbon Fuel Standard” found:

The “clean fuel standard” will phase in gradually, with the aim of achieving a 20% reduction in carbon intensity below a 2018 baseline by 2030 and a 30% reduction by 2040.

Using the formula provided by the Oregon Department of Environmental Quality and the average credit price in Oregon for the year 2023 ($129.75 per credit), Always On Energy Research (AOER) determined that these regulations will increase gasoline and diesel prices by 30 cents and 34.7 cents per gallon, respectively, by 2030. By 2040, the regulations will cause gas prices to be 45 cents per gallon higher than they otherwise would be, and diesel prices will be 52 cents higher.

Proposed New Mexico Heat Illness and Injury Prevention Rule could have massive impact on businesses: comment now!

05.19.2025

The New Mexico Environment Department’s Occupational Health and Safety Bureau submitted a petition to the state’s Environmental Improvement Board to adopt a proposed rule on occupational heat illness and injury prevention.  The new rule, if passed will mandate a range of heat illness and injury prevention measures on BOTH indoor and outdoor job sites across multiple industries, including construction. The submission of the petition is the first step to start the rulemaking process.

Take a few minutes to comment (at the bottom of this post) by no later than May 30. If adopted, this regulation could have significant impacts on businesses working throughout New Mexico. You can read (and borrow from) RGF’s comment here.

Analysis of New Mexico’s Proposed Heat Illness and Injury Prevention Standard

Key Requirements of the Standard are as follows

  1. Heat Exposure Assessment:
    1. Employers must conduct heat exposure assessments when the heat index meets or exceeds just 80°F.
    2. The assessment must account for the following criteria:
      1. Heat index of the work environment is determined by measuring the temperature and relative humidity and applying those numbers.
      2. The effect of direct sunlight.
      3. Intensity of the work being performed.
      4. Acclimatization of the employee.
      5. Personal risk factors for heat illness.
      6. The heat-retaining properties of protective clothing and PPE by using Proposed Rule’s Index Table 1.
  1. Control Measures must be implemented when outdoor and indoor working environment heat index exceeds 80°F.
    1. Acclimatization: New and returning employees must be gradually introduced to heat conditions and closely observed by a supervisor or designee for the first 7 days of employment. A phased work schedule is required, starting with 20% of the typical work duration in heat and incrementally increasing daily.
    2. Provision of Fluid: Each employee must have access to employer provided at least one quart of drinking water per hour.  Employees shall be encouraged to drink 8 ounces of fluid every 15 minutes.
    3. Regular Rest Breaks: Employer Paid rest breaks are mandated during high heat conditions based on a structured work-rest schedule. For instance:
      1. For heavy labor in full sun and temperatures exceeding 90°F, breaks must be taken every 20 minutes for at least 40 minutes.
      2. The exact schedule varies depending on the intensity of the work, clothing, sun exposure, and the heat index, as outlined in the regulation’s Work Rest Schedule Table.
    1. Cooling Areas: Employers must provide shade or mechanically cooled areas for employee breaks, ensuring they are sufficient to accommodate all workers and located close to work areas.
    2. Personnel Monitoring: Supervisors must monitor employees for signs of heat illness, using communication systems, buddy systems, or pre-shift meetings to review heat illness symptoms.
  1. Emergency Medical Care:
    1. Compliance with existing federal and state emergency medical care standards is required.
  1. Training and Recordkeeping:
    1. Employers must conduct heat illness training and maintain detailed records including attendees for at least five years.
  1. Maintain an accurate record of the heat acclimatization schedule and procedures for all new and returning employees.
  2. Maintain a record of all heat illness or related injury including those requiring first aid with heat index and working conditions at the time of the illness or injury.

This rule will impact virtually every employer with operations above 80 degrees.

Public Comments – NOTICE OF PUBLIC COMMENT HERE

It is critical that regulators hear directly from employers about how this rule would impact them.

To submit comments or to request more information on the proposed regulations, you have various options; may do so by filing electronically via the Department’s public comment portal (link embedded below); by email to heatrule.comments@env.nm.gov or in paper format by mailing comments to NMED-OHSB, Attn: Heat Illness and Injury Prevention, P.O. Box 5469, Santa Fe, NM, 87502.

  1. PUBLIC COMMENT ONLINE FORM/PORTAL HERE
  2. EMAIL: heatrule.comments@env.nm.gov – When responding by email please enter “Heat Injury and Illness Prevention Rule” in the subject line and include your name, title (as applicable), affiliation (as applicable), email, phone number, mailing address, and relevant comments to the proposed regulations in the body of the email.
  3. MAIL:   NMED-OHSB, Attn: Heat Illness and Injury Prevention, P.O. Box 5469, Santa Fe, NM, 87502

Santa Fe Public Schools to spend $46,000 per student in new budget

05.16.2025

According to a recent Santa Fe New Mexican report the school district in Santa Fe’s school board has passed a new budget for FY 2026. The budget will spend $474.3 million to educate an estimated 10,299 students. We did the math and this budget represents a positively shocking $46,000 per student! 

The article goes on to note that (due to a declining student population) this is a $15.4 million decrease from last year. Shockingly, the district anticipates a $2.2 million shortfall even with this incredible amount of spending per-student. As RGF has noted time and again all of this spending has NOT resulted in improved student outcomes. Where is all the money going? How do Santa Fe schools have a deficit?

As RGF noted recently in a separate post Albuquerque Public Schools (APS) plans to spend north of $35,000 per student.

 

RGF in National Review: Enriching the Land of Enchantment

05.15.2025
While the rest of the Southwest thrives, New Mexico’s lack of economic freedom is leaving it worse off.

If you’ve ever spent time in New Mexico, you know that it is a beautiful state. With remarkable vistas, rich culture, abundant outdoor attractions, and wonderful climate, the state has earned its nickname “The Land of Enchantment.”

Even more enchanting, New Mexico is in the middle of an oil and gas boom. The state has been an oil and gas producer for decades, but thanks to major shale finds, New Mexico now churns out 2 million barrels of oil every day. This is more than 15 percent of all U.S. production and enough to make it the second-biggest oil producing state in the nation after Texas. You’d think New Mexicans would be riding high these days.

Nothing could be further from the truth.

For decades the American Southwest has been the fastest growing area in the nation. You can credit the weather, wide open spaces, or opportunity for outdoor activities. But the fact that Southwestern states generally permit their citizens a great deal of economic freedom almost certainly helps.

Unfortunately for New Mexicans, their state bucks this trend. Over the last decade, the state ranked 47th in employment growth and 36th in real GDP growth. It has the third-highest poverty rate, and it has more children on federal food assistance than any other state. Over this period New Mexico’s population edged up just 1 percent while neighboring states grew by an average of 12 percent. State employment also grew 1 percent while neighboring state employment growth averaged 19 percent.

Why would a state with such dynamic neighbors be so economically troubled? With cooler summers than Arizona or Texas and warmer winters than Colorado — with skiing, golf, culture, arts, and the best green chili in the nation — the state has everything it needs to take off. Yet it is stuck in second gear.

In our new report published by the Rio Grande Foundation and the Fraser Institute, we point to the state’s long history of limited economic freedom. Unless the state’s leaders change course, New Mexico’s negative trends show every sign of continuing or even worsening in the years to come.

People are more economically free when they are allowed to make more of their own economic choices. But New Mexico’s high spending, steep taxes, and burdensome regulations mean it ranks 47th out of the 50 states, well behind each of its closest neighbors.

The Fraser Institute in Canada began measuring economic freedom nearly three decades ago, first at the national level and then at the state and provincial level. This data has been used in over a thousand peer-reviewed studies assessing the effects of economic freedom on wellbeing. And the evidence is overwhelming that economically freer people tend to be more prosperous people.

Economically free places attract peopleentrepreneurship, and growth. They tend to experience lower levels of povertyhomelessness, and food insecurity. People in economically free places are more tolerant of others, philanthropic, and satisfied with their lives. They are even less likely to recommit crime.

Yet as this evidence has accumulated, New Mexico’s policymakers have moved to further restrict the economic freedom of New Mexicans. The state is the only one in the country to have reduced the economic freedom of its citizens over the four decades for which we have data.

In recent years New Mexico has had budget surpluses of more than $3 billion annually. These are big numbers in a state where rapid spending growth has led to an annual general fund budget of $10.8 billion. In the last five years, the budget has grown by 27 percent in inflation-adjusted terms while the economy has grown by just 12 percent. New Mexico has also accumulated a $61 billion fund for future government spending.

What can be done? New Mexicans themselves hold the key. When they head to the polls, they should question why the state’s leaders have made the government the dominant force in New Mexico’s economy.

They should ask why the state’s top marginal income tax rate is nearly twice that of its neighbors or why its labor regulations are the second most burdensome in the country. They should ask that the state’s low-income occupations be relieved of especially heavy licensing requirements. For example, it takes 1,600 hours of classes to get a cosmetology license, and the average program costs over $16,000.

Reams of national and international data highlight the power and importance of increasing and defending economic freedom. New Mexico offers a cautionary tale to those who believe policymakers can tax, spend, and regulate their states to prosperity.

The evidence suggests that if allowed to make more of their own economic choices, New Mexicans would build a flourishing economy every bit as enchanting as everything else the state has to offer.

Matthew Mitchell is a senior fellow in the Center for Human Freedom at the Fraser Institute in Canada. He lives in northern New Mexico. Paul Gessing is President of the Rio Grande Foundation in Albuquerque.

New Mexico taxpayer funding for culturally significant okra and anti-Israel activism?

05.15.2025

Here at RGF we look at a lot of information on a lot of different topics, but we never thought we’d be talking about taxpayer dollars used for “culturally significant okra.” Specifically, according to a press release we received from NM’s Economic Development Department, Ashokra Farm in Albuquerque just received $25,000 from New Mexico taxpayers.

We thought it was a funny story involving a (relatively) small amount of wasteful spending until we were alerted to the Farm’s Facebook page. This is no ordinary farm. It’s a “queer and people of color farm.” Okay, that may be fine. You can read all about how the farm “protects from the threats of homophobia, transphobia, racism and sexism” in The Guardian.

It is ALSO a farm that urges at its Facebook page (screenshot below): “Farmers – please boycott these companies in support of a FREE PALESTINE AND END TO THE GENOCIDE that is currently being funded by Israel and the United States.” The Agricultural companies listed are based in Israel and are helping to fund the Israeli Defense Force.

If you are concerned about your tax dollars going to radical causes like this, I’d recommend sharing this story with your local newspaper or TV station. You can email Secretary Rob Black: rob.black@edd.nm.gov There is a full list of EDD personnel here. But most of all we need new legislators and a better Gov. than MLG in the 2026 election.

 

Medicaid reform/federal cuts long overdue

05.14.2025

Gov. MLG recently went on the TV show Face the Nation to decry potential cuts to Medicaid. She even claimed the reforms would ““destroy health care as we know it.” Pretty much every elected Democrat in New Mexico supports Medicaid as it currently exists because they view it as an “economic development” program. That’s largely due to the fact that the federal government picks up 72% of the bill while New Mexico pays “only” 28%.

That may sound like a great deal for New Mexicans until you realize that Medicaid spending is expected to grow by a mind-blowing 27% next year and spend an astonishing $15.5 billion. That’s 1/3rd larger than the State’s fast-growing general fund budget which pays for education and public safety (to name just two priorities). In other words, even with “just” 28% of that coming from New Mexicans, that’s STILL $4.34 billion state tax dollars (setting aside the federal tax burden placed on New Mexicans).

As part of their efforts to find savings to make way for the Trump tax cuts Republicans in Washington have put forth a few ideas that would constrain Medicaid spending a bit.

As The Hill notes, “Provider taxes have been a lucrative loophole for states to get more federal Medicaid funding by taxing providers and then returning the money to them in the form of higher reimbursements for treatment. The proposal would freeze all state taxes at their current rates and prevent states from imposing additional taxes.” New Mexico has been doing this for years and in 2024 the Legislature passed a provider tax that helped the State fleece taxpayers in the other 49 states of $1.5 billion. This is abuse of the Medicaid system. Unfortunately, the Republicans’ plan only prohibits future such schemes, not existing ones.

It’s worth mentioning that New Mexico could easily afford to replace federal Medicaid dollars with its own money. The State is sitting on $61 billion in “savings.” In the recently-completed legislative session the State has set up a mechanism to accumulate another $2 billion for the explicit purpose of “replacing” federal Medicaid dollars if indeed cuts happen.

Another initiative of Congressional Republicans’ (again from The Hill) is “work requirements.” Under the proposal, states must enforce “community engagement” requirements on Medicaid enrollees beginning in 2029.  Community engagement is defined as 80 hours of work, community service or a work program each month. Other options include at least half-time enrollment in an educational program or a combination of the available options.

We’d love to see that moved up (why wait until 2029), but with New Mexico’s abysmal workforce participation rate remains depressed by any historical metric. It is lower than it was before COVID and it is lower than it was going back to 1976. Adding work requirements to Medicaid is just common sense.

While Lujan Grisham and Democrats will undoubtedly claim that the sky is falling on New Mexico and other states, Medicaid needs to be reformed dramatically and that really needs to come from the federal level. We’d like to see the federal government block grant (and then shrink over time) Medicaid dollars. That would both remove the incentive for New Mexico and other states to “game” the system as they clearly have been doing AND it would place the federal government on more sound budgetary footing.

 

Reforming America’s Air Traffic Control system: Paul goes to the policy vault

05.13.2025

Before heading up Rio Grande Foundation Paul Gessing headed up government affairs at the DC-based National Taxpayers Union. One project Paul worked on at the time has rocketed to prominence in recent months: the struggling US Air Traffic Control system. In fact, the Trump Administration recently promised to revamp the system and put large sums of money into it.

Paul has worked on a real solution: commercializing air traffic control along the lines of what Canada has done. Read an (old) policy paper here. In 2017 on behalf of RGF, Paul signed this letter to Congress. The fact is that having safety regulation and operations of air traffic control should NOT be under the same government agency.

What’s the solution? NAV Canada is the model. NAV CANADA is Canada’s air navigation service provider, a privately-owned, non-profit corporation responsible for managing Canada’s civil airspace and the North Atlantic oceanic airspace. They provide air traffic control, flight information, and other aeronautical services and do so in a safe manner.

If you don’t want to look at Paul’s old 2003 NTU policy brief, check out a much more recent document advocating for air traffic control privatization from the Cato Institute.

Like pouring more money into government run schools that have few incentives to perform, pouring more money into “reforming” air traffic control is a waste of time unless the incentives are changed.

New Mexico’s pensions remain problematic

05.12.2025

As prospective gubernatorial candidate Duke Rodriguez pointed out in a recent Albuquerque Journal opinion piece, New Mexico’s PERA pension system’s solvency has worsened in recent years. This, despite reforms adopted in 2020 (that Rio Grande Foundation supported).

As the Albuquerque Journal reported, “Public Employees Retirement Association’s funded ratio — or its total assets divided by liabilities — has dropped from 70% in 2019 to 67% as of last summer. Its total unfunded liability has grown from $6 billion to nearly $9 billion during the same time frame.” That’s not good at any time, but considering the stock market’s performance during that time frame it is even more troubling.

I asked our friend Len Gilroy at the Reason Foundation (pension experts that we worked on pension reform with in 2020) for his thoughts and here’s what he said, “The benefit changes back then helped bend the cost and liability curves and built in some risk protections around new hires, but they didn’t fundamentally pour a bunch of money in to solve the current underfunding. It was a Phase 1 reform and then their leadership team left and they stopped pushing additional phases.”

At this point they (the Legislature) need to keep going. The first reform bent the liability curve, and the outcomes would have absolutely been worse had those not happened. But hovering out around 67% funded when markets are wildly volatile and closer to the next recession  is no place to rest.”

Furthermore, the Journal story noted that “New Mexico’s other public retirement system, the Educational Retirement Board that provides benefits for retired educators, has also faced solvency concerns in recent years. The ERB had a 65% funded ratio as of last summer, which marked a slight improvement from the previous year.”

The Rio Grande Foundation has philosophical concerns with defined benefit pensions in the first place though we don’t expect the transition to a defined contribution plan to happen anytime soon. Rather than pouring money into the State’s myriad “permanent funds” perhaps showing up our pension liabilities would have been a better approach?

You can see the latest PERA funding chart below, it is found at page 34 of this document.

RGF policy paper: “Senseless Energy Policy in New Mexico”

05.11.2025

At the Rio Grande Foundation we have long been frustrated with the prevailing approach to energy. It is anti-science, expensive, and sets New Mexico up for blackouts (Energy Transition Act) and economic destruction (anti-oil and gas legislation). The Foundation’s Adjunct Scholar on Energy Policy, Kenneth Costello, has a detailed takedown of New Mexico’s anti-energy approach in his new policy brief:

“Senseless Energy Policy in the Land of Enchantment”

Tipping Point NM episode 706 Daniel Higbie – Faith Driven Entreprenuership in NM

05.09.2025

On this week’s episode Paul talks to local entrepreneur and businessman (and Hillsdale College graduate) Daniel Higbie. They discuss unique cultural obstacles to entrepreneurship in New Mexico and their historical origins. They also discuss specific efforts that he and other business owners have undertaken in order to change New Mexico and its approach to business, wealth, outsiders, and more.

Here are several links to various concepts discussed in the conversation:

https://www.praxis.co/redemptive-entrepreneurship

https://faithdrivenentrepreneur.org/

https://www.faithdriveninvestor.org/

https://faithdrivenentrepreneur.org/find-a-group/

New Mexico now spends $13,227 per pre-K child enrolled

05.09.2025

According to a new report from New Mexico’s LESC, the State of New Mexico’s LESC. 

Check out the following charts directly from the report linked above. Increasing numbers of 3 and 4 year-olds are enrolled in New Mexico. At the same time spending per-child has ramped up dramatically. In 2023-24 State spending totaled $212,888,058, up $107,488,625 (102%), adjusted for inflation, from the prior year. On a per-pupil basis New Mexico spends about as much as tuition at a top private high school.

What will New Mexico get for this spending? There’s no telling. New Mexicans have been pouring money into pre-K for 20 years without any compelling increase in student outcomes. The State remains dead last nationally in education. The best randomized control study of pre-K outcomes found WORSE results with pre-K.  

Rep. Vasquez joins House GOP to repeal California EV mandate (which New Mexico is using to advance its own)

05.08.2025

The US House of Representatives recently voted on a plan that would (if adopted in the Senate) result in the repeal California’s emissions waiver. That waiver allows the state to require all new vehicles sold by 2035 to be electric. It has also been used by other states like New Mexico to implement EV mandates.

The House passed the mandate repeal with 35 Democrats (including New Mexico Rep. Gabe Vasquez) in support in addition to all Republicans. So, kudos to Vasquez on voting for both reality and New Mexico’s ACTUAL interests. Sadly, Reps. Stansbury and Leger Fernandez voted “no” on repeal.

Will this repeal make it through the Senate? We fully expect Heinrich to vote against it. Ben Ray Lujan almost always votes with Heinrich.

Leftist legislator’s bizarre constituent mail

05.07.2025

Rep. Michaela Cadena (D-Las Cruces) is among the farthest left members of the entire New Mexico Legislature. She is also an advocate for dramatically increased taxes on alcohol and reliably supports the “progressive” side in legislative battles in Santa Fe.

We happened to obtain some constituent mail the Rep. sent out to at least one constituent. It contains some text in Spanish and the text of the “letter” is “The people of New Mexico deserve better.” We agree with Cadena on this although we believe that we MAY have a few differences of opinion on what would actually make New Mexico better. As is well documented and you can see below, New Mexico has been under one party rule (Democrats) for nearly 100 years. We agree, New Mexico deserves better, but definitely not Cadena’s version of “better.”

Tipping Point NM episode 704: Latest on New Mexico’s Electric Vehicle Situation with Carlos Garcia

05.07.2025

On this week’s Tipping Point NM interview Paul sits down with Carlos Garcia of Garcia Automotive for an update on New Mexico’s electric vehicle situation. What’s the latest with the mandate both at the federal and state levels? Did the Legislature do anything? When do 2026 vehicles (43% of which are supposed to be EV’s show up on dealer lots?). What’s next for EV mandates and car buyers in New Mexico?

Also, Carlos and Paul discuss the impact of Trump’s tariffs on the auto industry and Elon Musk’s fall from grace (with his best customers).

Opinion piece: Prohibiting housing market technology won’t resolve New Mexico housing shortage

05.05.2025

The following appeared in the Albuquerque Journal on May 4, 2024.

New Mexico’s Legislature adjourned March 22, and not a moment too soon. That’s because the party that controls our state government spent most of the legislative session pushing misguided policies that expand the size of government, increase spending, fail to reduce tax burdens and add red tape to our economy. Our leaders need to address the root causes of these problems by shrinking government. Look no further than the housing market. Policy advisers to Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham report that in the past eight years, the average home price in New Mexico has gone up 70%, and the median rent costs have increased 60%.

That’s unsustainable for working families.

Analyses have emphasized the drastic undersupply of housing in New Mexico. An accumulation of development-deterring rules and regulations have suppressed the supply of housing, which in turn negatively impacts the going rates to buy or rent.

The Lujan Grisham administration rammed through a costly new building code in 2024. This new code raised insulation standards and mandated electric vehicle-related infrastructure. It also hasn’t helped that cities have been overly slow to reevaluate impediments like building height restrictions and unwise prioritization of costly single-family detached homes — which now makes up more than 65% of the state’s housing stock.

While increasing the housing supply in New Mexico’s largest cities was supposed to be the goal of the 2025 legislative session, a proposed bill (House Bill 215) would have worsened housing issues in the state. The bill would have barred the use of software by property managers to suggest rent prices or lease renewal terms. This entailed revoking the processes for analyzing and training an algorithm/artificial intelligence on historical or contemporaneous prices, supply levels or lease or rental contract termination and renewal dates of dwelling units from two or more rental property owners.

For consumers, much of what we buy is online or is supported by software tools like these that swiftly match our demands with available inventory and executing transactions the moment that we need them — think of flights, trains, cars, hotels and many other necessities.

While New Mexico’s proposal failed in the Legislature, similar laws enacted in California have been passed. In short, statistical assessments of the rental property landscape simply reveal a snapshot of its current market conditions, not the other way around in establishing such conditions, as some may claim. Artificial intelligence tools are just tools. If a landlord wishes to charge different rents or give discounts to customers, they are welcome to do that. AI is simply one of many tools that can be used to make sure that rental prices reflect current market conditions in the area.

Not only is AI not a problem driving New Mexico housing prices, it could be part of the solution. But the real solution to rising housing costs is to increase the housing supply. Austin, Texas, is an example of a fast-growing city that has tamped down rising prices through increased supply. In the market, where construction has been allowed to keep up with and even surpass population growth, rents have fallen 22% from their peak in the summer of 2023.

Reversing the anti-technology approach to housing is critical given that basic functions of tools for price discovery in the rental market stand to encourage more entrepreneurial activity and motivate more potential property owners to bring more housing units to market. Allowing processes to demystify markets like these can also further push business leaders to move their AI-oriented operations to New Mexico and support better outcomes for local consumers.

Of course, solving New Mexico’s housing shortage starts with increasing supply.

Paul Gessing is president of New Mexico’s Rio Grande Foundation, an independent, nonpartisan, tax- exempt research and educational organization dedicated to promoting prosperity for New Mexico based on principles of limited government, economic freedom and individual responsibility.