Errors of Enchantment

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Behind Doors Budget: Should We Care?

02.24.2010

This week’s “Independent Forum” from the New Mexico Independent asks whether New Mexicans should care whether their political leaders go behind closed doors to come to a budget agreement. Needless to say, I’m not a big fan of such dealings, but Jim Baca doesn’t particularly care. What do you think? Read the responses and offer your own thoughts here.

Convention Craziness in Albuquerque

02.23.2010

The Albuquerque Journal had a very interesting article on Monday relating to the City’s efforts to attract convention center business. The picture is not pretty, but rather than deterring proponents of a new “events center” (read convention center expansion) the folks who would benefit from more convention center business want to spend hundreds of millions of your taxpayer dollars, supposedly to attract more conventions.

But, as this study from the Brookings Institute points out, the Convention Center business nationwide is declining rapidly. This reality is actually reflected clearly in the Journal article. Says Dale Lockett of the Convention and Visitors Bureau, “How do you be a value destination when non-value destinations become value destinations? It’s a downward spiral. This seems to be a long-term loss.”

Well, duh Dale, this reduction in demand (note that this is a national, not local trend) is a clear sign that the industry is continuing to face big problems. It is not economically-viable.

Lockett goes on in the article: “Many of those competitors (other cities in the convention business) are willing to pretty much do anything to win business…each destination marketing organization has an obligation to try to lessen the impact of the recession to our own properties any way we can.” Gee, this sounds like a great industry to invest hundreds of millions of taxpayer dollars in. Would Bill Gates or Steve Jobs make such an investment? Heck no! They are looking for the business of the future, not wasting (other people’s) money on a costly, dying industry.

It is obvious that convention centers nationwide have been expensive money pits. Albuquerque need not fall into the same trap.

Obama Doubles Down on Health Care

02.22.2010

It turns out that Scott Brown’s election has not killed Obama’s plans for health care reform. Instead, despite flagging personal and health care poll numbers, Obama plans to use the “reconciliation” process to push his plan through the Senate with only 51 votes.

Unfortunately, there is nothing new or improved about Obama’s plan. As John Goodman points out, Obama has not jettisoned any of the most egregious aspects of the Senate’s plan, but instead has added some additional bad ideas to the mix. These include:

* The White House plans to impose the Medicare payroll tax (2.9%) on capital income! (Interest, dividends, annuities, royalties, and rent which is not otherwise “passive.”)
* The White House wants a national health insurance price-fixing body to approve rate hikes! (Despite evidence that state price-fixing leads to more uninsured, not less.)

As Americans for Tax Reform points out, Obama’s plan represents a $629 billion tax hike. Obama claims that his “new” plan has added Republican ideas to the mix (if that is the case, I haven’t seen them or any hints of free market reforms), but I certainly don’t see any free market ideas in the latest iteration of ObamaCare.

Charter Bank Victim of Corporate Socialism

02.22.2010

A few weeks ago in the Albuquerque Journal’s business section, Winthrop Quigley discussed the sad case of Charter Bank’s seizure by the Office of Thrift Supervision — the federal bank regulator. While Quigley’s article was by and large on target and generated a tremendous response, I felt that it was important to clarify that what happened to Charter was not a result of “free markets.” I elaborated on this issue in a letter to the Business Journal that was published today.

The full letter can be found below:

It is no surprise that Winthrop Quigley received such a strong reaction from readers to his coverage of the closing of Charter Bank. After all, people have an intuitive revulsion to unfair policies. Few policies are more transparently unfair than those foisted on the banking industry by the federal government which have bailed out some “too big to fail” banks with billions of our taxpayer dollars, resulted in massive bonuses for corporate fat cats, and yet have driven smaller community banks like Charter out of business for relatively minor transgressions.

The fact is that while not always as obvious as the case of Charter, this is par for the course for the federal government. If you have the money to buy high-powered lobbyists, the government will come to your rescue. If you don’t, you are out of luck.

What average citizens need to understand is this: The current situation is corporate socialism, not capitalism! Banks were among the most tightly regulated industries even before this economic crisis. Factor in federal manipulation of the money supply, the creation and financing of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and dozens of other interventions in the financial sector, and any semblance of capitalism are lost.

Charter may have made mistakes — humans are not perfect — but in the end the bank is a victim of unfair federal intervention and the nation’s rapid shift toward corporate socialism.

Public Gain, Private Pain

02.21.2010

During the 2010 legislative session, New Mexico’s public employees succeeded in preserving their big numbers, high salaries, and fat pensions. Unfortunately, the problem is not limited to New Mexico. As the USA Today recently pointed out “Federal workers are enjoying an extraordinary boom time — in pay and hiring — during a recession that has cost 7.3 million jobs in the private sector.”

This is because government employees are very organized and politically-powerful. Hopefully average Americans will wake up and realize that their interests are not in line with those of most government workers. Until that fact becomes widely acknowledged, government will continue to grow at the expense of the private sector.

Why NOT Deregulate Qwest?

02.20.2010

A little-publicized bill discussed during the recently-completed legislative session involved the deregulation of Qwest’s basic retail services. Senate Bill 37 was introduced by Sen. Cisneros and would have eliminated Public Regulatory Commission jurisdiction over the regulated telecommunications provider’s rates and terms for basic land-line services if it found “effective competition” in more than 50 percent of the provider’s market area, or if it has lost more than 33 percent of its land lines since 2001.

Sounds reasonable enough, right? After all, people — even living in rural areas — have many different phone services to choose from. Cell phones and cable providers are just two options, but when it comes right down to it, why should the PRC tell Qwest how much they can charge their customers? People who choose to live in far-flung, difficult to server rural areas should bear the extra costs associated with serving them, right?

Unfortunately, Sen. Lovejoy, PRC Commissioner Jason Marks, and apparently, several unregulated telecommunications providers, opposed the effort and the bill died. Sen. Cisneros has threatened to, rather than deregulating Qwest, attempt to bring these other telecommunications providers under regulatory control of the PRC. Hopefully, this is just a threat meant to neutralize the misguided opposition lobbying of these providers. New Mexico policymakers, wherever the market makes it possible, should be attempting to strip the PRC of its regulatory powers. This is because markets are far more efficient in terms of setting prices and “regulating” the marketplace than any politically-controlled regulatory agency.

Don’t give up Sen. Cisneros!

Can we get a Tax Lightning Fix in the Special Session?

02.19.2010

The 2010 legislative session ended yesterday with the House having completely avoided the Tax Lightning issue. According to Dan Boyd of the Albuquerque Journal, The Senate passed four separate bills to address “tax lightning,” including reasonable efforts by Sen. Neville and Sen. Eichenberg. Text of Eichenberg’s bill which would extend the 3% cap to all properties can be found here. Neville’s bill can be found here.

Unfortunately, as I’ve noted before, the New Mexico House seems to be inherently unwilling to make the tough decisions necessary to solve the problems facing New Mexicans. Notably, the entire House is up for election this November.

Hopefully Governor Richardson will put “tax lightning” on call for the special session. Tell him what you think.

Some Good News from Santa Fe

02.18.2010

While many are disappointed with the lack of a budget agreement during the 30-day legislative session — and I’m disappointed that both Houses and Richardson seem all too willing to raise taxes — the good news is that open government saw a few big successes this session. Of note is that the House of Representatives is now putting votes up on its website.

Bigger still in terms of empowering citizens and concerned taxpayers is the passage in both houses of SB 95 which would create a “Sunshine Portal” for more open government. Pending the Governor’s signature (you can influence that by contacting him), a “Sunshine Portal” will be created. This will include the names of all exempt employees, their title, and salary on a public, easily viewed on-line website.

SB 195, the Sunshine Portal Transparency Act was sponsored by Senator Sander Rue.

Positions and salaries of all other state employees, but not their names, would be released if SB 195 becomes law.

Other items included on the site are:

• state cash balances by account or fund;
• monthly summaries of the state’s investment accounts under the control of the State Investment Council;
• annual operating budgets for each state agency with monthly expenditures by category;
• state agency contracts with a total value of more than $20,000, naming both the recipients and purposes of the contracts;

This website will give average citizens additional tools to see that their money is being spent as efficiently as possible.

Free Market Capitalism Will Achieve Liberal Goals

02.18.2010

Pick up a copy of The Alibi this week (it is free after all). I have the cover story in the paper and I use the platform to reach out to liberals and those on the left in general, many of whom I believe to be good-hearted, well-intentioned people who would be much more effective in using free markets and individual liberty to achieve their goals. This would be so much more effective than the coercive power of government.

If you don’t live in The Alibi’s distribution area or simply want to read the article online, the link can be found here.

80% of Americans Don’t Understand Constitution…Is it any surprise we are where we are?

02.17.2010

Yahoo often has interesting stories on its front page. Today, an article appeared noting that 80% of Americans oppose the recent Supreme Court decision that opens the door for foreign and domestic corporations, labor unions, and other organizations to spend money directly from their general funds to influence campaigns. I know, it sounds pretty shady…allowing anyone to “buy” elections, right? Pretty dangerous stuff.

But was the Supreme Court correct? Simply put, the first amendment to the Constitution states: “Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances.”

“Congress shall make no law…” I kind of wish they’d just stopped there. Anyway, this is meant to be an expansive protection. There are no exceptions, so corporations, unions and the like are all protected. Simple stuff really, but of course our friends in the media will see their power diminished somewhat and are not explaining the issue.

While I disagree with him, at least lame duck Sen. Chris Dodd has embarked upon the one justifiable way to reverse this ruling, with a constitutional amendment of his own.

Creating Opportunities for New Mexicans

02.17.2010

A new pro-business organization has entered the playing field with an op-ed in today’s Albuquerque Journal urging policymakers to focus on private-sector job creation for New Mexicans. While somewhat short on specifics and filled with happy talk such as the supposed fact that we need “strong and efficient public and private sectors.” No, we don’t need a “strong” public sector and yes, the public sector (ie. government) is in direct competition with the private sector for resources and talent.

Nonetheless, it is great to see an organization here in New Mexico that is focused on private sector job growth, the only way to solve some of our most pressing budget issues. Of course, I hope that the organization will focus on sustainable jobs created by entrepreneurs via a fair and low tax structure and equitable and reasonable regulations, not lavish subsidies focused on narrow industries. Hopefully this group, Creating Opportunities for New Mexicans becomes a powerful, pro-private-sector voice in New Mexico. We need it.

Come to Comment at March 1 Environmental Improvement Board Meeting

02.16.2010

The schedule is set. March 1 is the one and only public comment session being held by the Environmental Improvement Board. Now is the time to begin mobilizing participation so that all voices are heard on the matter of a proposal to implement a New Mexico-only cap on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. This is a critical policy issue that could have major economic impacts of the state. I’ll be heading up for this important meeting. I encourage you to attend as well.

Please spread the word and encourage participation at the March 1 public comment session in Santa Fe. , Please consider sending an alert to your membership in the next week to remind them of this key date and urge their participation. Below is a sample alert that you are welcome to forward.

Attached are some background materials that may be of use to you as you brief others on this issue.

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The New Mexico Environmental Improvement Board (EIB) will hold a public comment session on March 1 to hear input on a proposal to implement a cap on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the state.

Numerous groups are in opposition to this proposal because of the severe economic impacts such a measure would likely have on New Mexico.

The proposal calls for a reduction in statewide Greenhouse Gas emissions to 25% below 1990 levels by the year 2020 – a more aggressive goal than anything currently under consideration at the federal level. The cap would apply to such entities as oil and gas producers, refineries, manufacturers, cement and asphalt plants, power plants, universities, military bases, mineral processing operations, and numerous others.

* When: March 1 from 10 a.m. to 5 p.m.
* Where: State Personnel Office Auditorium, Willie Ortiz Building, 2600 Cerrillos Road, Santa Fe 87505
* What: EIB public comment session on proposed New Mexico Carbon Cap.

The EIB has not yet set the exact process for the session, but if you plan on making a comment you should assume you will be heard on a first-come, first-served basis unless you hear otherwise.

Key concerns that those opposed to the proposal include:

* This proposal provides no cost mitigation measures because it requires affected sources to reduce their emissions of greenhouse gases through the addition of pollution controls that are not commercially available, fuel switching, reduced operation, or closure.

* The cap would affect regulated industries, and their customers, in the state of New Mexico only. It would represent a cost driver unique to New Mexico, and therefore place the state at an economic disadvantage with other states. Ultimately, it creates an incentive for affected industries to leave the state.

* While exact impacts are not yet known because no comprehensive economic impact study has been performed, it is clear that this price driver unique to New Mexico would significantly increase the cost of doing business in the state.

* The cap would make no discernable impact on the amount of manmade greenhouse gasses widely believed to be contributing to global climate change.

* The proposed cap on GHG emissions is applicable to regulated sources in New Mexico and covers only about 32 percent of anthropogenic GHG emissions in the state.

* Under current law, the Board has no authority to regulate air emissions from power plants located on tribal lands. Such sources represent the single largest emitter source of GHG emissions in New Mexico and nearly half of all GHG emissions from the electric utility sector in the state.

Rail Runner Devouring New Mexicans’ Resources

02.16.2010

The Rail Runner is insatiable! Like The Money Pit, it consumes ever-greater amounts of taxpayer money. The latest source it has latched onto is $643,000 in “stimulus” money. We’ve already raised the gross receipts tax 1/8th of a cent to pay for the train, but it still faces a $750,000 operating deficit above and beyond that tax hike — fare revenue only covers 13% of the train’s operating costs.

Richardson is more than happy to use this federal money to extend the train’s financial life for another year. After all, that gets him out of office in enough time to force the next Governor to deal with the train’s ongoing shortfalls. As Los Ranchos Mayor Larry Abraham pointed out: “My concern with using the stimulus money is the fact that, if we’re covering recurring expenses, what are we going to do in the future? All we’re doing is pushing the problem forward. We really need to address the expenses now rather than later.”

I added on to Abraham’s point saying, Gov. Bill Richardson has made it clear he will use any funding source — including stimulus money — to keep the commuter line running, regardless of cost. It seems to be that whatever Rail Runner wants, Rail Runner gets. It boggles the mind that they think it’s stimulus activity.”

Of course, the problem with the stimulus in the first place is that it would inevitable that it would become a slush fund for politicians who want to disguise their irresponsible spending. Besides, as I’ve pointed out in the past, economic stimuli plans simply don’t work. Of course, politicians will always support such boondoggles because they are in their own interest.

Eventually New Mexicans will learn the true costs of the Rail Runner. Richardson, acting in his own self-interest will attempt to push that date back as far as possible.

Are We “Shortchanging Education?”

02.15.2010

The House and Senate have now passed their own budgets. The House relies on a broad basket of economically-harmful tax hikes and very little in the way of spending cuts. The Senate relies instead on controversial food taxes and regressive tobacco tax hikes. The Senate cuts a bit more in terms of spending.

An interesting opinion piece from Republican legislator and education administrator Dennis Roch appeared in the Albuquerque Journal recently. While Roch makes a good case against spending massive amounts of taxpayer money on the Spaceport and RailRunner, both of which we have spoken out against, Roch argues that if we reduce education spending, we are “shortchanging” it.

Quite simply, he has no way to back this up for the simple fact that our entire K-12 education system is socialized. Absent price signals which tend not to be found in socialized systems, determining the optimal allocation of resources is nearly impossible. That said, if the Soviet Union is any indicator, the allocation of resources in socialized economic systems are horribly inefficient. We can therefore assume that our K-12 system is not very efficient (duh).

Of course, we know that New Mexico’s graduation rate is 54%. We also know that New Mexico spends more per capita than most other states and on support services. Mind you, this is in comparison with other socialized school systems that achieve far better results, typically with fewer resources.

Aside from balancing the budget, the Legislature should be focused like a laser on improving educational results, but instead we get the Hispanic Education Act which will do nothing to improve results (regardless of demographics). Are we shortchanging education? Well, in terms of adopting solutions that work, we are, but in terms of money it seems hard to believe that we are.

Ugh, Paul Gessing

02.13.2010

I love some of the Alibi’s readers. In a recent blog posting, I asked Rail Runner riders and the businesses that benefit from the train to foot the bill to close the system’s $750,000 operating deficit (that’s in addition to the $18 million in recognized annual deficits).

This blog posting generated a largely ad hominem response (first online and then in the print edition, 3rd letter down) from a reader. His essential point, aside from the fact that I’m a jerk, was that people of the conservative/libertarian mind-set don’t care for the poor. This argument falls flat. For starters, the state might not be facing cuts if we hadn’t spent $400 million + plus tens of millions in operating cost for the train. Also, it might be noted that at least in the Washington, DC area, users of the rail transit system are wealthier than average and much wealthier than bus riders.

So, I guess if you are concerned about helping the poor, it would make sense to advocate for more buses, but I’ll be the Rail Runner benefits far more high income tourists and government workers than poor people. Yet another bogus pro-RailRunner argument falls by the wayside.

The Changing Face of Journalism: Jim Scarantino on National Review Online (again)

02.12.2010

Needless to say, our investigative journalist Jim Scarantino has garnered a ton of press coverage for the Rio Grande Foundation with his recent work. Jim, while an amazing asset to the Rio Grande Foundation, is not alone in changing the face of journalism through his investigative work. Think tanks all over the country have hired their own investigative journalists to dig up dirt on the wasteful, fraudulent, and abusive practices of their elected officials.

Read the full story on National Review Online.

Fannie and Freddie: Obama’s Budget Scam

02.11.2010

Jonathan Weil of Bloomberg News had an excellent article that appeared in the Albuquerque Journal this week.

When he was director of the Congressional Budget Office, Peter Orszag, in September 2008 said Fannie and Freddie should be included in the federal budget, but that was before Obama became president. Excluding Fannie and Freddie from the budget (as Obama has done), the national debt held by the public is about $7.9 trillion. With them, it exceeds last year’s $13.2 trillion gross domestic product. Worse, this number is likely to grow because Congress and the Treasury have given Fannie and Freddie a blank check to blow through whatever taxpayer money is necessary to keep the U.S. housing market afloat.

By not holding Fannie and Freddie accountable — and actually expanding them instead — the Obama Administration is both attempting to cover up the major role federal policies had in the economic crisis and it is setting the stage for another crisis when this new, unsustainable bubble pops.

Fixing New Mexico’s $25.8 Billion Unfunded Retiree System

02.10.2010

In the waning days of the 2010 legislative session, the need to reform the state’s unfunded retiree system remains. The Rio Grande Foundation has produced studies that outlined New Mexico’s state and local government over-employment and pension problems.

In the latest installment of our ongoing effort to bring attention to this problem, we have released a four-point proposal designed to solve the $25.8 billion unfunded government pension problem. That study, “Fixing New Mexico’s $25.8 billion Unfunded Retiree System” is available at: http://www.riograndefoundation.org/downloads/rgf_nm_unfunded_retiree_system.pdf

New Mexico’s defined benefit retirement system is massively underfunded. The pension system officially reports an unfunded liability of $4.6 billion; however, new analysis by two academic economists finds that the pension system is underfunded by at least $7.5 billion and may be as high as $22.9 billion—or three times greater than the state’s general obligation bond debt. The state Other Post Employment Benefits (OPEB) system, mostly health insurance, is underfunded by at least $2.9 billion.

If the unfunded retiree liabilities are not dealt with soon, the annual required contributions to the retiree system will crowd-out other state spending such as roads and higher education. Fortunately, there are solutions which can be summarized by this straight-forward four-step process:

Step 1—Fix the Public Sector Over-Employment Problem

In 2008, New Mexico’s state and local governments employed 25.3 people for every 100 people employed in the private sector versus the national average ratio of 16.72. If New Mexico’s state and local government ratio was reduced to the national average, then the workforce would be reduced by 56,970 people.

Step 2—Transform Defined Benefit System into a Defined Contribution System

Step 3—Continue to Increase Employee/Retiree Contributions to the Retiree Healthcare System

During the 2009 Legislative Session, the Legislature enacted HB 351 which increased the employer and employee contributions to the retiree healthcare system to 3 percent from 1.95 percent phased-in over 4 years. This is an important first step in correcting the unsustainable retiree healthcare system without resorting to tax increases or budgetary gimmicks. However, more reforms of this nature are needed since there are virtually no assets to offset the $3.1 billion unfunded retiree healthcare liability.

Step 4—Expand the Private Sector

States with larger private sectors will grow faster over time than states with smaller private sectors. Finding ways to help New Mexico’s private sector grow is a win-win for both the public and private sector. One low-cost, high impact way to help the private sector is to perform a thorough review and culling of out-dated regulations. In the end, a larger private sector will generate higher tax revenues which could be used to tackle New Mexico’s unfunded retiree system.

The New Mexico Senate Stands Firm

02.10.2010

You know who your friends are when times get tough. If that old aphorism holds true, then New Mexico taxpayers — and anyone else concerned about good government — should thank their Senator today. That is, if they have been aligned with the vast majority of their Senate colleagues on several recent votes.

In recent days, the Senate has passed two “veto overrides” of Governor Richardson. The first dispute was over the Administration’s refusal to share certain information about the Medicaid program and its managed care vendors with the Legislative Finance Committee. This dispute has been ongoing for more than a year and the bill mandated such disclosure.

The Governor’s veto of a bill which passed unanimously by the Legislature and was endorsed by Attorney General Gary King, was overridden by a vote of 34-8 in the Senate. The override will not be complete until the House also votes by a 2/3 majority to also override the Governor’s veto which would require 47 of the 70 members.

The Senate overrode Richardson and his mismanagement of the State Investment Council by a vote of 33-4.

Both of these issues are bi-partisan and relate to good-government. Hopefully the House will show its willingness to stand up for taxpayers regardless of any pressure the Governor may bring to bear. Now, on to that minor issue of the budget…

Yet Another Obama Tax Hike

02.09.2010

Under Obama’s Budget, energy producers — including those in New Mexico — would face more than $220 billion in tax hikes according to Americans for Tax Reform. While the President has repeatedly pledged not to raise taxes on middle-income Americans, the reality is that he has enacted and proposed several tax hikes.

As I pointed out a few months back, these include taxes on tobacco, tires from China, and steel pipes from China as well.

Fed Stimulus Grows NM Government More Than Broader Economy: No Surprise There

02.09.2010

The latest report on the stimulus spending shows that government continues to benefit while unemployment rises in the broader economy. I’ve done two reports crunching data from recovery.gov, the official U.S. government website to track stimulus spending and employment impacts. The first showed that the number of jobs funded by stimulus dollars dropped during the last quarter of 2009 by 13% while the cost per job soared over 50% to $484,505 per job. That report is over at New Mexico Watchdog here.

Today’s report shows that government is gobbling up the stimulus dollars, consuming most of the funding and funding most of the jobs claimed. That report is here.

What is definitely growing is the public sector. Unemployment for everyone, though, is up sharply, to 8.3% from 7.8% in the previous quarter.

Another Film Study Backs Us Up

02.09.2010

We’ve been saying for quite some time that New Mexico’s generous incentives to the film industry do not make sense. Yet another study backs us up on this point. A front page article on the incentives appeared in today’s Albuquerque Journal. According to the new study which was undertaken by a policy analyst with the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, the state of New Mexico earned $0.39 in estimated new revenues per dollar of credit. In other words, we are losing money on the credits because new revenues are lower than expenditures. This information contradicts the now discredited Ernst & Young report issued in January 2009 found that each dollar of incentive generated a total of $1.50 in revenue.

Rather than going through all the ways this new film study discredits the idea that the film program is an economic boon, I’ll simply offer a few quotes from Lisa Strout of the New Mexico Film Office. Not surprisingly, she is quoted in the Journal article as saying “We will stick by Ernst & Young.” Well, duh. No matter how discredited the data, she has a direct financial interest in the film program. She won’t budge.

Better still, however, is Strout’s quote “Ernst & Young were very tough. They said if they could not get the data (to support an analysis) they would leave it out.” This, of course, directly conflicts with the Boston Fed’s reporting that “(The Ernst & Young) Study findings that increased tourism accounts for between 25 percent and 40 percent of the incentives’ economic impact are “difficult, if not impossible” to verify.

So, there you have it. New Mexico policymakers have created a powerful special interest “entitlement” to the tune of $80 million annually that includes a government entity (The Film Office) that lobbies on its behalf. Killing the program is simply politically impossible at this point. Hopefully the Legislature will seriously consider adopting Sen. John Arthur-Smith’s subsidy cap legislation.