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Tipping Point NM Episode 665: Economic Freedom, UNM Football, Free College in NM, State Fair moving? and more

12.12.2024

New Mexico drops two spots to 47th in latest Economic Freedom of North America.

UNM football loses head coach. Why does this have economic importance?

“Free” college drives up attendance at New Mexico colleges and universities, but to what end?

Bernalillo County is voting on Tuesday to potentially raise County Commissioner salaries under the recently-passed constitutional amendment. Is YOUR county voting to increase commissioner salaries soon?

MLG wants to potentially move the New Mexico’s State Fair. Paul and Wally take a closer look. .

We took a look at Maxeon Solar’s financials and they are UGLY.

6% of federal workers are in the office full time while one-third are fully remote.

New Mexico has plenty of money: will it matter?

12.10.2024

The chart below (taken from the Albuquerque Journal) highlights New Mexico’s ongoing revenue boom thanks to the oil and gas industry. State revenue once again is set to rise in FY 2026 meaning the Legislature will have plenty of money to both increase spending AND cut or reform New Mexico’s business-unfriendly tax structure.

While growth is not as rapid as it was for a few years, oil and gas revenue ALONE is more than enough to pay for New Mexico’s general fund budget for FY 2025 of $10.2 billion. The question is whether the recently-reelected “progressive” majority has the interest in enacting pro-growth tax policies for the benefit of New Mexicans and the State economy.

RGF will be working to make sure that tax cuts are as large and will improve/diversify New Mexico’s economy. We will also fight against ALL unnecessary and unfair tax hikes. It will be another challenging session but New Mexico’s problems can’t be blamed on a lack of resources.

Not ALL policymakers want to address New Mexico’s medical provider shortage

12.10.2024

New Mexico’s health care provider shortage remains a critical issue for our State. RGF’s president recently interviewed Fred Nathan of Think New Mexico on the subject and RGF has its own recommendations about addressing the shortage which can be found here.

There are numerous things that need to be done, but politicians in New Mexico are not all on board with solving the issue. Check out this letter to the editor written by the head of New Mexico’s Medical Association. 

Check out this paragraph:

During a recent presentation to the Legislative Health and Human Services Committee, I presented innovative solutions to the physician shortage, ranging from the elimination of prior authorization requirements to the creation of a Medicaid trust to secure care for generations to come. Instead of exploring those solutions, state Rep. Eleanor Chavez demanded to know my personal salary and my practice’s gross income. To make matters worse, when presented with data that New Mexico is the only state to have lost physicians in recent years, state Rep. Liz Thomson proclaimed the data is “propaganda.” Patients can assure Thomson that the data is very real. The following day, Thomson questioned how much physicians spend on wine.

Sadly, this kind of jealousy and ignorance is common in New Mexico among the “progressives” who dominate our Legislature and other elected bodies. We will be working this session to address the medical provider shortage. Hopefully the other “progressives” in Santa Fe are more willing to play nice.

Release: RGF digs into medical provider shortage in Part 1 of two part  series - Rio Grande Foundation

Bernalillo County to vote Tuesday night on revised commissioner salaries (of up to $150,000)

12.09.2024

On Election Day voters in the state of New Mexico overwhelmingly voted to revise New Mexico’s Constitution to put county commissions themselves in charge of setting their pay (Amendment 4). While at the Rio Grande Foundation we had our doubts about this plan the voters overwhelmingly passed it.

So, (with limited time left in 2024 to adopt new county commissioner salaries for 2025) at Tuesday’s meeting there will likely be a vote on the new salaries of Bernalillo County Commissioners. (Check your local county commission for details on their plans to vote on revisions as well).

Currently, commissioners in Bernalillo County receive $39,000 annually (see page 1009 of the agenda for Tuesday).

One plan would increase salaries to $150,000 annually. Another would leave salaries at current rates. Other plans would increase rates by some percentage rate of increase.

What is the correct salary for Bernalillo County commissioners? It would certainly not be wise to raise them 4X to $150,000. Whatever you think send commissioners a note by the meeting time on Tuesday at 5pm.

Opinion piece: New Mexico can ‘move the needle’ with regulatory sandbox

12.09.2024

The following appeared in the Las Cruces Sun on Sunday, December 8, 2024.

Among the numerous economic policy areas that hold New Mexico back is its heavy regulatory burden. Unnecessarily heavy regulations on business can make it harder than necessary to start and grow a business in New Mexico. The good news is that at least some regulatory reforms show real potential for bipartisanship in Santa Fe.

New Mexico could (and should) take a step toward regulatory reform by embracing what are known as “regulatory sandboxes.” In 2023 Albuquerque Democrat Rep. Meredith Dixon introduced an innovative form of legislation (HB 356), “The Technology Sandbox Act.”

While it didn’t pass or get so much as a hearing in 2023, the concept is relatively new to New Mexico and needs to be at least heard and discussed in legislative committees in the upcoming 60-day session. The concept of “regulatory sandboxes” is one that could be applied successfully to other areas of the State economy.

First and foremost, what is a “sandbox?”  Simply put, it is a regulatory “space” for entrepreneurs and innovators, from small start-ups to large corporations, to try new ways of doing things without excessive, outdated regulations. Sandboxes allow regulators the flexibility to safely monitor and foster new ideas instead of simply shutting them down.

The concept didn’t come from a “red” state like Texas or “blue” state like California. It started in the UK in 2014 for financial technology innovations and quickly spread to other countries. In the US, several states targeted the fintech, insurance, and property tech industries while more states have begun to look at the industries of agriculture, healthcare, and energy.

Industry-specific sandboxes are a good way to start, but the goal is to allow for a universal sandbox to provide flexibility to all industries, creating a fair process that boosts economic growth while empowering businesses both big and small. Four states (Arizona, Kentucky, Utah, and now Missouri) have these broad sandboxes.

Outdated and unnecessary regulations don’t just hurt businesspeople. We can’t know how many business ideas either fail or aren’t attempted due to archaic regulations that are inapplicable to modern models. Sandboxes let businesses do what they do best: solve problems for consumers.

Hopefully New Mexico’s newly minted and much-changed Legislature will take a more business-friendly approach to all manner of public policy issues starting with the upcoming 60-day session. With a more moderate approach we can certainly hope that a focus on actually growing our economy and diversifying it while continuing to benefit from the oil and gas boom would be winning approaches for Republicans and Democrats alike.

We have made the case for tax reform and reduction, but New Mexico’s thicket of regulations also holds us back. Regulatory “sandboxes” are a bi-partisan approach that is worth exploring this session.

Paul Gessing is president of New Mexico’s Rio Grande Foundation, an independent, nonpartisan, tax-exempt research and educational organization dedicated to promoting prosperity for New Mexico based on principles of limited government, economic freedom and individual responsibility.

Maxeon Financials UGLY!

12.06.2024

MLG’s preferred and heavily-subsidized solar panel manufacturer Maxeon has released their financials for the 3rd quarter of 2024. UGLY doesn’t begin to describe them. Here’s a link. This is the company she wants to pour $600 million worth of subsidies into? Shipments and Revenue are way down while losses are way up. There are undoubtedly uglier financials out there in corporate America, but few are receiving the kind of financial support New Mexico is poised to give Maxeon.

Tipping Point NM Episode 664: Addressing New Mexico’s Medical Provider Shortage w/ Fred Nathan

12.06.2024

On this week’s interview Paul talks to Fred Nathan of Think New Mexico. The organization has a new policy report about the State’s ongoing medical provider shortage. Paul and Fred discuss the organization’s findings, whether the Legislature will be open to them, and areas of agreement/disagreement they have. Fred and his organization hope to make this a top priority in the upcoming session. Check out this timely and important conversation!

RGF has ALSO done similar research (often with similar findings as Think New Mexico). You can find our work here and here.

Ouch! New Mexico’s top university (UNM) loses football coach to third tier university in neighboring state

12.06.2024

In what can only be described as a “gut punch” for UNM football fans, Bronco Mendenhall, the head coach of UNM’s football team has left the program to take over at Utah State University. Utah State happens to be in the same Mountain West Conference at UNM but is considered to be at a lower level than University of Utah or BYU, both of which play in higher level conferences.

What does this have to do with the Rio Grande Foundation? For starters, football is a particularly financially driven sport, especially now with Name Image and Likeness rules that allow athletes to be compensated for their efforts.

The fact is that Utah is a more economically diversified state that is growing from both a population and economic perspective.

New Mexico falls even further in Economic Freedom of North America Index

12.05.2024

No two words define the work of the Rio Grande Foundation better than “economic freedom.” Everything the Foundation does is geared towards increased economic freedom for New Mexicans.

Sadly, with today’s release of the annual Economic Freedom of
North America 2024 index published by the Canada-based Fraser Institute and Bridwell Center at Southern Methodist University, New Mexico dropped from an already poor 45th position to an even worse 47th ranking.

Under Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham and the State’s “progressive” Legislature, New Mexico’s performance on the three major indices which make up economic freedom (taxation, government spending, and regulation) have worsened relative to other states. As of the 2024 index, New Mexico outperforms only California, New York, and Hawaii. The best performing states in the index are New Hampshire, Idaho, and Oklahoma.

Economic freedom is widely correlated with better economic outcomes in terms of reduced poverty and reduced inequality.

You can see all the states and their various quartiles from the cover page of the new report below, but in order to read the full report you can click here or click on the image below:

“Free” college drives uptick in college admissions in NM, but to what end?

12.04.2024

New Mexico’s institutes of higher education are seeing a modest influx in the number of students thanks to “free” college. Whether that is a particularly good thing or not is open to question, but before making a decision you should probably check the charts below out. You can find them at page 5 of this document.

You can see graduation rates for both universities and colleges as well as the fact that the recent uptick in college attendance is relatively small considering the stark decline in student numbers in the 3rd chart (below).

It certainly seems that New Mexico’s community college graduation rates are low, but that is also the case for Northern NM and Highlands Universities. What is New Mexico getting for the billions of dollars that have been invested in higher education?

Mesa studios to receive subsidies coming and going

12.04.2024

New Mexico has some of the most generous film subsidies in the nation. The State offers a “refundable credit” or taxpayer subsidy of up to 40% of what they spend in New Mexico. New Mexico’s film subsidies are some of the most generous in the nation.

RGF is not a fan of film subsidies and the Legislative Finance Committee says that the subsidies are a money-loser.

But, when it comes to the film industry in New Mexico a 40% subsidy is not enough. The latest planned studio Mesa Film Studios will be receiving LEDA funding in the amount of $6,750,000.  $6,000,000 will come from the State while the City of Albuquerque is expected to provide $750,000.

How many taxpayer-funded film studios are enough in a state that already pays for up to 40% of film production costs?

 

Tipping Point New Mexico episode 663: Biden Pardons Hunter, Maxeon Solar Scales Back New Mexico Plant, RVs to be Banned and more

12.04.2024

Joe Biden pardons his son for ANY federal crime dating back to 2014. This is a major about face and further highlights Biden’s family corruption.

Maxeon Solar moves forward in NM with a dramatically scaled back plant. Will their subsidies be scaled back as well?

Has MLG put New Mexico on a path to banning RV sales? 

A proposal to put MORE New Mexicans on Medicaid will be introduced this session.

Also, a proposal to weaken New Mexico’s anti-donation clause will be introduced this session.

Finally, Paul has a brief conversation with small-time mine operator Lori Coleman about the situation regarding a potential Biden Administration monument designation before he leaves office.

New Mexico’s left wing Legislature looks to undermine anti-donation clause

12.02.2024

Laws supporting good government in New Mexico are few, far between, and often ignored or ineffective. One of the few provisions in New Mexico law that are meant to protect taxpayers and the public from ill-advised government policy is the “anti-donation clause.” The idea was placed in New Mexico’s Constitution due to abuses between politicians and the railroads which received large tracts of state-held land to lure them to New Mexico (and other states).

The clause has been weakened in recent years, but we are currently in litigation over the clause and whether the Albuquerque City Council can donate OUR money to a private interest (Planned Parenthood). We believe the answer is “no.” We’d love to see it harder for New Mexico governments to donate OUR tax dollars to private entities (especially for supposed “economic development” which is of course why we have an anti-donation clause in the first place).

What changes are in store? We don’t know yet. Here’s an article from the Santa Fe New Mexican outlining the plans albeit with few specifics.

Has MLG put New Mexico on a path to banning RV sales?

12.02.2024

Will recreational vehicle sales be prohibited in New Mexico by 2027? That’s what the industry is saying (thanks to New Mexico following California’s “clean car standard.” The ban in California could start as soon as January 1, 2025. Read articles directly from the RV industry about the issue here and here. There is also a map showing the states (including New Mexico) that plan to follow California’s ban on RV sales below.

The good news is as follows:

  1. New Mexico will be able to see what happens in California and a handful of other states (in red below) as soon as this January before our ban is implemented.
  2. There is a very real possibility that President Trump will eliminate or alter California’s broad authority to dictate the sale of electric vehicles (and the ability of other states like New Mexico to follow California’s policies).

Tipping Point NM Episode 662 Tom Clifford – Taxes and Hidden Funds in New Mexico

11.29.2024

Tom Clifford has an extensive background in taxation and fiscal matters for New Mexico. He was Cabinet Secretary of the Department of Finance and Administration in the Martinez Administration, Tax Policy Director at Taxation and Revenue Department, and Economist at Taxation and Revenue Department, Department of Finance and Administration, and the Legislative Finance Committee.

Tom and Paul discuss the issues affecting taxation in New Mexico, discuss some strategies to improve the economy of the state through tax policy as well management of the large permanent funds that exist in New Mexico.

Maxeon moves forward, but DRAMATICALLY scales back Albuquerque plans

11.27.2024

As the Albuquerque Journal reports MLG’s favorite solar panel manufacturing company Maxeon has finally announced their plans for a manufacturing facility in Albuquerque. But, they’re NOT breaking ground at a new facility at Mesa del Sol. Instead, they are moving into the former Honeywell facility.

Whether the move is a win for MLG or New Mexico is an open question, but the move takes Maxeon from a proposed a brand new 1.9 million-square-foot facility down to just a 110,000 square foot facility. That’s a shrinking of their New Mexico footprint by nearly 95% (a number which approaches the steep decline in the company’s stock price). Will the generosity of New Mexico’s massive taxpayer subsidies shrink with their shrinking footprint?

Despite the recent election of President Trump Maxeon’s stock price has rebounded slightly in recent weeks which is likely related to the company’s dramatic changes in management and focus.

Tipping Point NM episode 661: Trump Could Learn from New Mexico?, Decline in Public School Enrollment to Accelerate and more

11.27.2024

Let’s just put ALL New Mexicans on Medicaid!

11.26.2024

The front page of the Albuquerque Journal has an article highlighting the potential for the Legislature to adopt “Medicaid Forward” in the 2025 legislative session. Most of the article is glowing in its reporting on the potential for yet another expansion of government dependency in New Mexico. The idea behind Medicaid Forward is to allow New Mexicans above the 200% federal poverty thresh hold to receive Medicaid.

The estimated cost of the plan is $88 million, but we know this is a lowball number based on past experience. Even more importantly, New Mexico is ALREADY massively dependent on Medicaid whether you take the data from World Population Review or New Mexico’s own Legislative Finance Committee’s slightly higher 47% estimate. Vast numbers of New Mexicans are on government welfare and that hasn’t done much for our outcomes (health or otherwise).

Further expanding Medicaid is yet another way to fritter away the State’s oil and gas surplus. Hopefully the Trump Administration prevents this and perhaps reforms Medicaid to make it less costly as well.

 

MLG to MSNBC: “New Mexico child poverty dropped from 50 to 17” (What REALLY happened?)

11.25.2024

New Mexico Gov. Lujan Grisham recently went on leftist cable TV channel MSNBC to make her opposition to the Trump Administration crystal clear (use the link to watch the full 10 minute interview). There were two interesting items:

  1. MLG claimed that “New Mexico went from 50th in child poverty to 17th.” No such improvement happened. As we have written, New Mexico’s “improvement” in child poverty is driven by the use of a different data set (the Census Bureau’s “supplemental” poverty measure). Volumes have been written about the myriad issues with this “supplemental” measure. We don’t take a position on whether the traditional or supplemental is better but MLG is being her usual disingenuous self in claiming this massive improvement in child poverty (especially when ALL other reports show New Mexico to be NOT doing a good job with child outcomes). You can read an article here that is VERY sympathetic to the Gov. that explains what is happening.
  2. It is both hilarious and a sign of the media’s extreme bias (especially MSNBC) that they would include New Mexico’s Gov. as an “expert” on education policy considering New Mexico’s worst-in-the-nation outcomes and ongoing failure. The idea of eliminating the Department of Education (as Trump is considering) is certainly worth looking at (MLG’s protests not withstanding). The Department has done nothing to improve New Mexico’s education outcomes in New Mexico or anywhere else. But, it is laughable to value MLG’s opinions on an issue where she has failed so miserably.

 

Javier Martinez: Trump could learn from New Mexico?

11.25.2024

The Albuquerque Journal recently had an article about the impending return of Trump to the White House. The interviewed numerous New Mexico politicians including Speaker Javier Martinez. Needless to say there is going to be a lot of back-and-forth between Trump’s Republican Administration and New Mexico’s left wing politicians.

But what REALLY stuck with me is the following quote from Speaker Martinez:

The hubris of a politician who has a real position of power in a State that is last in education, highest in poverty, has one of the highest crime rates, and is almost entirely dependent economically on a combination of oil and gas and federal spending takes “cajones” to say the least. New Mexico is blessed in many ways: weather, vistas, natural resources, and cultures (to name a few), but governance is most definitely where New Mexico is weakest (and among the weakest in the nation). In fact Wallethub places New Mexico 3rd-worst in return on investment despite the fact that our tax burdens are kept (relatively) low thanks to the aforementioned oil and gas revenues.

Perhaps Speaker Martinez and the rest of New Mexico’s Democrats should go to Washington to meet and learn from Trump? The following images are from the annual Kids Count report of the Annie E. Casey Foundation.

New Mexico’s stark decline in public school enrollment

11.22.2024

RGF has for years been raising concerns about the State’s rapidly-aging population and declining youth population. There have always been challenges like: the State’s high poverty, poor education system, crime, lack of jobs or a diversified economy, and more.

But in recent years another issue of concern has cropped up and that’s the “birth dearth” that has seen a decline in babies being born both in the US and in many other industrialized countries. The issue (along with New Mexico’s manifest education failures) has already caused public school enrollment in New Mexico to plummet.  But you haven’t seen anything yet. With an accelerating trend toward fewer births, New Mexico’s population of young people is about to plummet even faster.

The following charts use data from the National Center for Education Statistics.

The first shows that while New Mexico’s public school enrollment peaked at nearly 340,000 it has declined somewhat since then, but is projected to decline far more quickly as we head to 2031.

Using the same data, New Mexico’s projected decline in public school enrollment is expected to be far greater than the national average of 5.5%. It is worse than all other states besides California and Hawaii. New Mexico’s student enrollment decline far outpaces any of its neighbors. The youth are New Mexico’s future. If you think that things in New Mexico are going well, this should disabuse you of the notion.

New Mexico is hemorrhaging young people DESPITE “free” statewide pre-K and “free” college.

KRQE Channel 13 recently did a podcast on the State’s declining population. It is worth a listen below:

 

Tipping Point NM episode 660: A poll worker’s view of New Mexico’s Elections

11.22.2024

On this week’s interview Paul talks to Carol Gessing. Not only is Carol his mother, but Carol worked the two weeks of early voting this fall as well as over the summer during the primaries. They discuss the various jobs of election officials at polling places, the processes used to verify the accuracy of the elections and other issues involved in conducting New Mexico’s elections. Carol lived in Ohio and has some comparisons with the way things work in that state as compared to NM.

9 is the number for SCOTUS

11.21.2024

The US Supreme Court has been under attack in recent years (almost entirely from the left). Efforts have been undertaken (during the Biden Administration) to increase the number of justices. A simple constitutional amendment would lock in nine justices on the Nation’s highest court.

Check out and sign the petition here. If we need more justices in the future for some reason we can always change the number, but politically-motivated court packing shouldn’t be a constant threat from one side of the aisle that wants to transform the court for their own purposes.

Supreme Court membership should as is. Keep Nine Amendment will do it

New Mexico a mediocre 36th in 50 state election integrity scorecard

11.21.2024

New Mexico Secretary of State Maggie Toulouse Oliver loves to tout the State’s high ranking in one national report. You can find their metrics here. Having looked at them, they are wanting and don’t really study the integrity of elections, but just basic processes.

The Heritage Foundation on the other hand has a far more relevant index that ranks states based on what we truly care about which is election integrity. In that index New Mexico scores a mediocre 36th. It’s not as bad as some really bad states, but it is nowhere near the top. What does Heritage look at?

They consider whether states have voter ID, accurate voter lists, don’t allow ballot harvesting, and manage absentee ballots effectively. It is a much more relevant to the concerns of voters in both parties than the MIT report referenced by the SoS.

You can click the image below to check out the Heritage Foundation Election Integrity Scorecard. FYI: Tennessee is the top performing state while Hawaii is worst.