Errors of Enchantment

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David Scrase doesn’t “get it” on Medicaid issues

03.16.2021

New Mexico’s Health Department recently released data indicating that 43 percent of the State’s population was on Medicaid. We commented on that here. Those comments were reflected in an Albuquerque Journal editorial that  concludes with the statement, “we need to find a way to kick-start and nourish a private sector that employs people and provides benefits including good health insurance.”

We agree with the Journal 100%. Not surprisingly, Gov. Lujan Grisham’s top health care staffers either don’t understand the argument or willingly ignore the point. David Scrase and Nicole Comeaux spend 600 plus words talking about how important Medicaid is and how it will help solve New Mexico’s poverty issues.

The problem is, of course, that welfare programs like Medicaid (even though New Mexico gets $4.76 from the feds for every dollar it spends) don’t actually do anything to bring people out of poverty. Rather, the growth of a strong private sector economy, improved educational outcomes, and broader economic prosperity do that.

Considering how poorly Scrase has handled the COVID health crisis this year, it is no surprise he doesn’t understand the economic problem with New Mexico’s bloated Medicaid rolls.

NM Human Services Secretary Dr. David Scrase debunks mask myths | KOB 4

House committee to hear expensive fuel standard bill tomorrow

03.15.2021

Tomorrow at 8 A.M., the House Energy, Environment, and Natural Resources Committee will meet to hear SB 11, the Clean Fuel Standard Act. This bill would amount to a gas tax with the funds directed straight into the Environment Department, the same bureaucracy that would be tasked with regulating fuel. This kind of legislation has been implemented in other states and has produced little in the way of cleaner air and has done so at great cost to everyone who buys fuel.

You can watch the committee webcast here, or join the Zoom meeting for public comment here.

The Rio Grande Foundation submitted testimony in opposition to SB 11.

Which electricity sources ACTUALLY failed in Texas last month?

03.15.2021

The causes of the recent electricity outages in Texas are complicated. It got REALLY cold in parts of a state that are not used to such low temperatures. Initially the blame was placed squarely on the use of so-called “renewables.”

Then,  not surprisingly, there was a fierce backlash as liberal media “fact-checkers” and their environmentalist allies pushed back noting that wind was not “responsible” or “wholly responsible” for the problems in Texas.

What’s the truth? Check out this post from America’s Power (and the chart below). It shows how various energy sources performed in terms of their “capacity factors” during the crisis.

The chart for MISO is below (for more details on the acronyms and other data posted below click on the blog post above):

The chart for SPP is below:

The point is that “traditional” electricity sources like nuclear and coal performed the best. Natural gas which has traditionally been used for heating and is now ALSO being used for electricity generation had a tough time, but wind really did poorly. There is no doubt that natural gas infrastructure needs to be improved if both heating AND electricity are to rely on it.

The chart below is Texas’ electricity generation portfolio from Energy Information Administration. It is hard to see how wind’s already-low reliability could be improved. Clearly, with Texas producing vast quantities of natural gas, Texas’ utilities could do more to improve the reliability of natural gas.

HT: Chris Hunter

A domestic war on private prisons isn’t helpful

03.15.2021

The following article appeared in the Santa Fe New Mexican on March 10, 2021. It also appeared in several other New Mexico based outlets.

Contractor-operated prisons, or so-called private prisons, have been vilified among progressives, even though their success in preparing inmates for productive engagement after their incarceration should be lauded by all social and political ideologies as part of the solution to social justice reform.

House Bill 40, which would eliminate all privately managed correctional facilities in New Mexico, has been making its way through the Legislature this session.

Last month, President Joe Biden signed an executive order to end new contracts between the Department of Justice and contractor-run corrections facilities, which almost exclusively house foreign citizens convicted of federal crimes. Contractor-run correctional facilities perform a valuable service. They help control overcrowding in publicly run prisons while providing more and better rehabilitation opportunities. Typically, inmates are safer, as rates of assault were lower at contractor-run facilities than rates in publicly managed prisons.

Opened in 1998, the Lea County Correctional Facility in Hobbs is a contractor-managed facility operated by GEO Group on a former World War II training base. As with all correctional facilities in the United States, it is managed in compliance with standards set by the American Correctional Association. The facility was most recently reaccredited in 2015 with a perfect score.

The facility provides inmates with training, work programming, recreation and educational opportunities. GEO’s in-custody and post-release “continuum of care” programming, developed by experts in criminal justice, substance abuse, psychology and other areas, keeps residents engaged for positive change and is critical for them to be successful once they serve their sentence and to avoid reoffending.

A study from the Rand Corporation found inmates who participated in correctional education programs were 43 percent less likely to recidivate than inmates who did not. And, often, state budget cuts hit prison programming first, while private contractors have flexibility and can invest their own resources to continue to do what is best for those in their care.

While visiting another GEO Group-managed facility in New Mexico, I met residents and staff who spoke highly of their experiences with the programming offered. Many residents have struggled with substance abuse challenges and require acute counseling and rehabilitation programming to help overcome their addiction. According to the Sage Neuroscience Center, all of the top 10 causes of death in New Mexico can be at least partially attributed to drug and alcohol abuse.

Program residents must complete the Residential Drug Abuse Program as part of their sentence. With new executive orders underway and the threat of HB 40, these programs could be shut down, potentially forcing these individuals into a jailhouse general population where they would not be able to get the services they need to survive and thrive after they serve their sentence. Revoking important substance abuse programs would destine many of these people to the damning cycle of ongoing drug and alcohol abuse, harming not only themselves but also their families and local communities.

In short, all contractor-operated facilities follow the same protocols policies and procedures as publicly run facilities under the New Mexico Corrections Department. Furthermore, the contractors have strict oversight of their operations that include on-site monitors, something the government facilities and the state lack.

Most importantly, as our nation shifts its corrections paradigm to highlight judicial reforms and inmate reentry, we should leverage all of the successful tools at our disposal to provide inmates with the care, attention and training they need inside facility walls — whether contractor run or publicly run — in order to be well-functioning members of society when they rejoin the public.

Continuing to wage war on contractor-run prisons doesn’t solve any problems or help inmates. If a program works, it shouldn’t matter who is managing it. By working together, we can rethink our prison system for the benefit of everyone.

More bad bills in committee today

03.15.2021

SB 66, which would cap interest rates on installment loans at 36%, is scheduled for a hearing in the House Judiciary Committee at 11:30 morning. This is the bills last committee before it goes to the House floor. HJR 1 is scheduled in the Senate Finance Committee after the Senate floor session. This bill would open to voters the option to tap the land grant permanent fund for broadened early childhood education. Unfortunately, the data shows that these programs do not actually predict higher levels of academic achievement later in a student’s education.

You can watch the committee webcasts here, or join the Zoom meeting for public comment on SB 66 here.

The Rio Grande Foundation has submitted testimony in opposition to SB 66 and HJR 1.

Senate tax committee will meet to hear two more bad bills

03.12.2021

Meeting tomorrow at 9 A.M., the Senate Tax, Business, and Transportation Committee will hear many bills, among them two economically destructive proposals. HB 291 is a tax hike that, even after being heavily amended, is still a bad idea. HB 20 is one of many paid sick leave mandates in the legislature this year. This bill has gotten the furthest through the process.

You can watch the meeting webcast here, or find the senator’s information here to send them your comments on these bills.

The Rio Grande Foundation has submitted testimony in opposition to HB 291 and HB 20.

HB 291 is still economically-harmful

03.12.2021

HB 291 passed the New Mexico House as an economically-harmful tax hike. Senate Majority Leader Peter Wirth has made some changes to the bill as detailed in the Albuquerque Journal.

In summary, with $300 million of new money and having just received an unprecedented $9 billion from the federal government, the idea that taxes need to be increased is misguided to say the least.

Worse, raising the top income tax rate from 5.9% to 6.5% and increasing corporate taxes to 7.6% is economically-senseless. Raising cigarette taxes so dramatically is both “regressive” AND will lead to cigarette smuggling as New Mexicans head to tribal lands to purchase cigarettes. New Mexico already has one of the highest rates of smuggling in the nation.

If Democrats who control both houses of the Legislature and Gov. Lujan Grisham want to increase tax credits for low income New Mexicans they should do that. The money is available in the form of $300 million (and rising) in “new” money.”

 

Senate Finance Committee to hear two bad bills tomorrow

03.12.2021

The Senate Finance Committee is planning to meet at 1 P.M. tomorrow to discuss a number of bills, including SB 130 and HJR 1. SB 130 would require 75% of the state’s vehicle fleet to be fully electric by 2030. The significant costs associated with this changeover would obviously be passed on to the taxpayer. HJR 1 would tap the land grant permanent fund to provide for expanded pre-K education. Unfortunately, the little data that exists does not support the notion that more pre-K leads to better education achievement down the road. Throwing more money at a broken system will not significantly move the needle on educational success in New Mexico.

You can watch the webcasts here, or contact the committee members with your comments using the information here.

The Rio Grande Foundation has submitted testimony in opposition to SB 130 and HJR 1.

Tipping Point NM episode 282: Clint Pagurko – RGF Intern and Policy Analyst

03.11.2021

On this week’s interview, Paul sits down with Rio Grande Foundation intern and policy analyst Clint Pagurko. Clint has been with the Foundation for just a few months, but he has made a tremendous impact with the organization by researching and writing testimony for many of the bills of concern for the Rio Grande Foundation this legislative session. His testimony has been posted at: www.errorsofenchantment.com this session along with the Foundation’s usual information and analysis.

Clint is a recent graduate of Hillsdale College a unique and staunchly independent school based in Clint’s home state of Michigan. We discuss that school and what makes it so unique. Finally, we get Clint’s impressions of New Mexico politics and the State more generally.

 

A year of trying to live free (and COVID-free) and MLG

03.11.2021

On March 11, 2020, New Mexico Gov. Lujan Grisham signed the first of what would eventually become more than a year of COVID 19 restrictions.

In Albuquerque Paul Gessing’s County league basketball team won the championship while also hearing that the NBA had suspended its season.


Pretty quickly after that life shut down. Schools shut down and we attempted to deal with a messy transition to “virtual learning.” Albuquerque playgrounds even shut down, but we let the kids play anyway learning a form of civil disobedience at an early age.

 

 

 

 

 

We hiked in warm weather and cold.

 

 

 

 

We hunted Easter Eggs at the (shut down) park.We played in the Rio Grande (AKA the “Rio Rancho Riviera) and visited Yellowstone National Park in the summer.

We went to preschool, but home schooled the two older children.

We went to an INDOOR Halloween Party at Calvary Church

We went trick or treating regardless of the government.WE went to Calvary Church for Christmas service and got socially-distant pictures taken with Santa. Finally, we traveled twice to the Great Wolf Lodge in Scottsdale, AZ TWICE and did their ropes course and played in their waterpark which was open while nothing like that was available in New Mexico throughout.

In big ways and small (and many more than listed here) we attempted to live both safely AND freely. This is just a fraction of the means we used to live free and enjoy life over the past year. None of the Gessing household including a 76 year old member of the household got COVID 19 over the past year.

 

House committees to hear two bad Senate bills tomorrow

03.11.2021

Two economically destructive bills have made it to the House and will be heard in committee meetings tomorrow. Meeting at 9 A.M., the House State Government, Elections, and Indian Affairs Committee will consider SB 112. This bill would create a task force to direct the economy to move away from the oil and gas industry. As a government intervention in the market, this bureaucracy would obviously lead to inefficiency and hinder economic growth. Another House committee, the House Commerce and Economic Development Committee, will meet at noon to hear SB 66, a cap on interest rates for small loans, an issue we have written about before.

You can watch the meeting webcasts here, or join the Zoom meetings for public comment. The Zoom meeting for SB 112 can be accessed here, and the meeting for SB 66 can be found here.

The Rio Grande Foundation has submitted testimony in opposition to SB 112 and SB 66.

Senate committee considers tax hike tomorrow

03.10.2021

In a 1:30 P.M. meeting tomorrow afternoon, the Senate Tax, Business, and Transportation Committee will hear HB 291, a tax hike bill. The bill would raise the top income tax bracket rate to 6.5% from 5.9%. It would also allow an annual increase of 10% of the property taxes on residences that are not occupied as a principal residence by the owner. Annual property tax increases are currently capped at 3%.

You can watch the committee meeting webcast here, or email the committee members for public comment.

The Rio Grande Foundation has submitted testimony in opposition to HB 291.

New Mexico doesn’t need another tax hike! Dangerous bills move to NM Senate with 10 days to go in Session

03.10.2021

Anytime the New Mexico Legislature is in session, the threat of tax hikes is real. Of course, with $300 million in “new money” from oil and gas not to mention an expected $50 million from legalizing marijuana, and untold amounts of federal spending thanks to the passage of “Biden bucks” there is no need for higher taxes.

That hasn’t stopped Democrats in the Legislature from pushing for higher taxes. Here are the ones that we are aware of which have passed one house or another. There are plenty of bad bills still moving, but if you know of other tax hikes still moving please let us know.

HB 291: which just passed the House raises the top income tax rate to 6.5% AND would allow property tax assessments for housing units that are not owner-occupied (possibly houses AND apartments in addition to the primary target, 2nd homes) to rise by up to 10% every single year.

Also, according to the Legislature’s own fiscal impact report, “The bill creates a cliff effect by excluding any business sold for a net capital gain of greater than $1 million from the eligible capital gains tax deduction. A taxpayer who sells a New Mexico business resulting in net capital gains of $1,000,001 is ineligible to claim any capital gains tax deduction related to the sale, creating significant inequity for that taxpayer and a taxpayer who receives the deduction for a sale worth $1 less.

HB 248: adopts $8 million worth of annual tax hikes on the insurance industry. It has passed the House and is awaiting Senate action.

HB 122: imposes a health insurance premium surtax, which the bill proposes to raise from 1 percent to 3.75 percent. It would raise taxes on health insurance policies by $208.7 million annually. It has passed the House.

Lots of bad bills on the schedule over the next few days

03.10.2021

Legislative committees will be hearing several bad bills today, tomorrow, and Friday. Meeting after today’s Senate floor session, the Senate Judiciary Committee will hear HB 4, the Civil Rights Act. This bill would open municipalities up to increased liability, putting strain on their reinsurance and raising costs to taxpayers. Next, the Senate Tax, Business, and Transportation Committee will hear SB 198 in a meeting starting at 1:30 tomorrow afternoon. This bill is another of several paid sick leave mandates. Finally, the House Commerce and Economic Development Committee will meet at 1:30 Friday afternoon to discuss SB 66, a cap on small loan interest rates.

You can find all the committee webcasts here. To give public comment on SB 198, follow the instructions here. You can join the Zoom meeting for public comment on SB 66 here.

The Rio Grande Foundation submitted testimony in opposition to HB 4, SB 198, and SB 66.

Tipping Point NM Episode 281: One Year of COVID-19 (and more)

03.10.2021

On this week’s discussion show, Paul and Wally discuss the rapid-changing COVID rules being imposed by the Lujan Grisham Administration.

They begin by Commemorating one year of COVID; New Mexico has announced that it is prioritizing teachers for the COVID-19 vaccine. That’s a fine idea, but why wait until now when the Gov. could have made this move back in January when the vaccine came out? During this conversation, Paul and Wally receive news that schools will be reopening to all K-12 students full-time.

New Mexico’s bowling alleys are still closed but MLG is letting Meow Wolf reopen on the 19th.

NM food insecurity among children on the rise during COVID.

Even after recent reopening measures, NM remains among the most locked down states in the nation according to Wallethub.

States begin to reopen Governor Abbott Lifts Mask Mandate, Opens Texas 100 Percent. Mississippi reopens as well and even Connecticut which announced it is lifting ALL capacity limits on restaurants, retail, libraries, personal services, indoor recreation, gyms, museums, offices & houses of worship.

Notably, 12 of 15 states w/o mask mandates (including Texas) outperformed New Mexico on COVID deaths. 

The $2 trillion Federal “stimulus” passes Senate on party-line vote. It heads to the House and soon (likely) to Biden’s desk. Here’s what’s in it. 90% of the money is NOT directly for addressing COVID.   

Thoughts on New Mexico’s return to school

03.09.2021

When it comes to COVID 19 in New Mexico, news happens fast. On Monday morning the Lujan Grisham Administration announced that teachers would head to the front of the line for vaccines. Later that same day before media outlets even filed their stories, the Administration announced that all schools and all grades would be reopening to full-time in-person learning starting on April 5.

For starters, we at the Rio Grande Foundation are pleased that the schools will be reopening. Of course, it could have been done earlier and many schools (public and private) across the country have been open since August. And, if teachers were going to receive vaccine priority, that could have been done back in January when the vaccine was first being distributed.

Albuquerque Public Schools was already lagging in getting back to in-person learning. It will be interesting to see if they can/will get this done. More important than getting kids into their classrooms this spring is the clear sign that students across the State will be back in class this fall unless the Virus situation worsens dramatically.

While we applaud the reopening, the Gov.’s reopening has been chaotic and ever-changing. There is no doubt this has been a challenging time for districts AND parents/families.

 

Homemade food bill scheduled for second committee tomorrow

03.09.2021

One of the few good bills introduced this session, HB 177, is currently scheduled for a hearing in the House Health and Human Services Committee at 8:30 tomorrow morning. This bill would reform the cottage food laws in New Mexico, simplifying the permitting and removing the requirement for very expensive kitchen upgrades. The bill would also legalize the sale of non-perishable homemade food outside of farmers markets and roadside stands. After this bill stalled early in the legislative session, the Rio Grande Foundation helped work to bring it back. This is the second House committee the bill will need to move through to reach the House floor.

You can watch the committee meeting webcast here, or join the Zoom meeting for public comment.

The Rio Grande Foundation has submitted testimony in favor of HB 177.

Liquor license reform and delivery are good things, but only w/o that tax hike

03.08.2021

UPDATE GOOD NEWS: On March 9, the NM Senate Amended the tax hike out of HB 255 and passed it in a bipartisan vote. 

The Rio Grande Foundation has long supported reform of New Mexico’s arcane and expensive liquor licensing system. Legislation (HB 255) has been introduced and is moving through the current session.

There is a lot to like about the bill, BUT, as of right now, the bill has a retail excise tax of 2 percent on alcohol sales that would increase taxes by $30 million annually. See FIR below. 

The bill is moving. The GOOD news is that the tax hike MAY be removed. We hope so. If it IS removed HB 255 may be one of the better bills passed for long-term economic growth this session.

 

Deregulation critical to creating actual prosperity and economic success (just ask the railroads)

03.08.2021

With Congress on the verge of passing yet another massive (and this one completely unnecessary) “stimulus,” Americans are being lulled into the belief that America is simply a few more printed dollars away from economic prosperity. Obviously, sooner or later the bill will come due for all of this debt.

Ironically, recently the Americans (unbeknown to most of them) actually “celebrated” 40 years of successful deregulation of America’s freight railroad system via the Staggers Rail Act. The Act, passed in 1980 and signed by President Jimmy Carter, removed the federal government from setting freight rates.

Deregulation worked and latest are now 43 percent lower today than 1981. The Rio Grande Foundation recently signed a letter in support of the Staggers Act and acknowledging its success.

Some day Americans and their elected officials will again realize that printing money is not the path to prosperity. Rather, it is the combination of innovation, hard work, and sound public policy that we achieve greater prosperity.

Union Pacific expands operations in New Mexico | KRWG

Senate committees will hear several bad bills this afternoon

03.08.2021

Two Senate committees will consider bad legislation this afternoon. The Senate Finance Committee will hear SB 11, the Clean Fuel Standard Act, in a meeting starting at 1 P.M. or half an hour after the end of the Senate floor session. The Senate Health and Public Affairs Committee will hear HB 20, a paid sick leave mandate, in a meeting also starting half an hour after the floor session.

You can find the meeting webcasts here.

The Rio Grande Foundation submitted testimony in opposition to SB 11 and HB 20.

Tipping Point NM episode 280: Rob Black and Ted Abernathy – Driving New Mexico’s Future

03.04.2021

On this week’s conversation, Paul sits down with New Mexico Chamber of Commerce President & CEO Rob Black and economic consultant Ted Abernathy who runs the firm Economic Leadership.

Ted recently worked with the Chamber to develop various economic policy recommendations for New Mexico based on numerous conversations with business leaders. The information has been shared with elected officials and economic development experts throughout the State. You can find out details on those recommendations here.

Rob BlackTed Abernathy – BSAM

Most states without mask mandates outperformed New Mexico on COVID 19 deaths

03.04.2021

The Rio Grande Foundation is not and never has been “anti-mask,” but we support states that have chosen to move towards reopening. While President Biden called states like Texas which have recently reopened and dropped its mask requirement, “neanderthals” and Gov. Lujan Grisham stated that New Mexico would not be dropping its mask mandate anytime soon, the reality is that like so many aspects of COVID 19, it is hard to connect government containment policies with success.

Here is a map of states that do NOT require masks. According to WorldoMeters’ COVID tracking site, most of them have performed BETTER than New Mexico (15th-worst in the nation) on the virus (deaths per population).

Of the non-mandate states only Arizona, South Dakota, and North Dakota have higher death rates than New Mexico.

Every other state (a total of 12 of them) that lacks a mask mandate has a lower COVID death rate than does New Mexico.

Whether you wear a mask in public or not, it should be a personal decision, not a governmental one.

Texas to join 15 US states without statewide mask mandates | khou.com